Index

Simulation of proposed AV system in UK applied to 2010 election results			First-choice votes polled by candidate who won under AV (percentage of total constituency votes)		Second- or third-choice votes from those initially choosing other parties, re-assigned under AV		Total votes picked up by the candidate winning under AV		Votes from those whose first choice was not the winning candidate and whose second- or third-choice vote was discarded under AV
Welsh	Winning Candidate       (Elected as MP)	Winning Party
Constituencies / Seats in UK Parliament
From:                                To:
Pontypridd	AV changes underlined
Ynys Mon			Number	%	Number	%	Number	%	Number	%
Pontypridd	Smith, Owen	Labour	14,220	38.8%	1,886	5.1%	16,106	43.9%	20,565	56.1%
Preseli Pembrokeshire	Crabb, Stephen	Conservative	16,944	42.8%	1,079	2.7%	18,023	45.5%	21,579	54.5%
Rhondda	Bryant, Chris	Labour	17,183	55.3%	0	0.0%	17,183	55.3%	13,889	44.7%
Swansea East	James, Sian	Labour	16,819	51.5%	0	0.0%	16,819	51.5%	15,857	48.5%
Swansea West	May, Peter	Lib-Dem	11,831	33.2%	3,090	8.7%	14,921	41.9%	20,672	58.1%
Torfaen	Murphy, Paul	Labour	16,847	44.8%	1,872	5.0%	18,719	49.7%	18,921	50.3%
Vale of Clwyd	Ruane, Chris	Labour	15,017	42.3%	2,214	6.2%	17,231	48.5%	18,303	51.5%
Vale of Glamorgan	Cairns, Alun	Conservative	20,341	41.8%	1,408	2.9%	21,749	44.7%	26,918	55.3%
Wrexham	Lucas, Ian	Labour	12,161	36.9%	1,434	4.3%	13,595	41.2%	19,381	58.8%
Ynys Mon	Owen, Albert	Labour	11,490	33.4%	1,942	5.6%	13,432	39.0%	21,012	61.0%
SUMMARY - WALES	Alternative Vote (AV) results for all Welsh seats if applied to 2010 Election votes	Total votes cast in Wales	Total first-choice winning votes, all Welsh seats		Total second- or third-choice votes re-assigned under AV in Wales		Total votes picked up by winning candidates under AV in Wales		Total votes discarded under AV, all Welsh seats
		1,466,991	622,661		65,973		688,634		778,357
		100.0%		42.4%		4.5%		46.9%		53.1%
			Results based on simulation program AVOTER (AV Operational Testing, Evaluation and Research)