Index

Simulation of proposed AV system in UK applied to 2010 election results			First-choice votes polled by candidate who won under AV (percentage of total constituency votes)		Second- or third-choice votes from those initially choosing other parties, re-assigned under AV		Total votes picked up by the candidate winning under AV		Votes from those whose first choice was not the winning candidate and whose second- or third-choice vote was discarded under AV
Northern Irish	Winning Candidate       (Elected as MP)	Winning Party
Constituencies / Seats in UK Parliament
From:                                To:
Antrim East	AV changes underlined
Upper Bann			Number	%	Number	%	Number	%	Number	%
Antrim East	Wilson, Sammy	DUP	13,993	45.9%	1,004	3.3%	14,997	49.2%	15,505	50.8%
Antrim North	Paisley Junior, Ian	DUP	19,672	47.9%	30	0.1%	19,702	48.0%	21,327	52.0%
Antrim South	McCrea, William	DUP	11,536	33.9%	1,006	3.0%	12,542	36.9%	21,467	63.1%
Belfast East	Robinson, Peter	DUP	11,306	32.8%	4,025	11.7%	15,331	44.5%	19,157	55.5%
Belfast North	Dodds, Nigel	DUP	14,812	40.0%	1,218	3.3%	16,030	43.3%	20,963	56.7%
Belfast South	McDonnell, Alasdair	SDLP	14,026	41.0%	3,295	9.6%	17,321	50.7%	16,865	49.3%
Belfast West	Adams, Gerry	SF	22,840	71.1%	0	0.0%	22,840	71.1%	9,293	28.9%
Down North	Hermon, Sylvia	Independent	21,181	63.3%	1,043	3.1%	22,224	66.4%	11,257	33.6%
Down South	Ritchie, Margaret	SDLP	20,648	48.5%	620	1.5%	21,268	49.9%	21,321	50.1%
Fermanagh and South Tyrone	Connor, Rodney	Independent	21,300	45.5%	1,251	2.7%	22,551	48.2%	24,252	51.8%
Foyle	Durkan, Mark	SDLP	16,922	44.7%	1,101	2.9%	18,023	47.6%	19,866	52.4%
Lagan Valley	Donaldson, Jeffrey	DUP	18,199	49.8%	0	0.0%	18,199	49.8%	18,341	50.2%
Londonderry East	Campbell, Gregory	DUP	12,097	34.6%	4,173	11.9%	16,270	46.6%	18,680	53.4%
Newry and Armagh	Murphy, Conor	SF	18,857	42.0%	67	0.1%	18,924	42.1%	25,982	57.9%
Strangford	Shannon, Jim	DUP	14,926	45.9%	1,041	3.2%	15,967	49.1%	16,538	50.9%
Tyrone West	Doherty, Pat	SF	18,050	48.4%	76	0.2%	18,126	48.6%	19,149	51.4%
Ulster Mid	McGuinness, Martin	SF	21,239	52.0%	0	0.0%	21,239	52.0%	19,603	48.0%
Upper Bann	Simpson, Thomas	DUP	14,000	33.8%	0	0.0%	14,000	33.8%	27,383	66.2%
SUMMARY -            NORTHERN IRELAND	Alternative Vote (AV) results for all Northern Irish seats if applied to 2010 Election votes	Total votes cast in Northern Ireland	Total first-choice winning votes, all Northern Irish seats		Total second- or third-choice votes re-assigned under AV in Northern Ireland		Total votes picked up by winning candidates under AV in Northern Ireland		Total votes discarded under AV, all Northern Irish seats
		672,503	305,604		19,950		325,554		346,949
		100.0%		45.4%		3.0%		48.4%		51.6%
			Results based on simulation program AVOTER (AV Operational Testing, Evaluation and Research)